The latest State of Southeast Asia 2026 Survey Report, released by ISEAS – Yusof Ishak Institute, highlights a region navigating growing strategic pressure and uncertainty.
Respondents across Southeast Asia point to intensifying competition between major powers as a key concern, alongside rising economic volatility, geopolitical strain and limitations within ASEAN itself.
A consistent theme is the region’s preference for strategic independence. Most Southeast Asians do not want to be drawn into choosing sides between global powers, though the survey suggests maintaining this balance is becoming increasingly difficult.
China continues to be seen as the most influential actor, but unease about its expanding role remains strong.
Views on the United States are more divided, with concerns emerging around its leadership and economic direction, even as its security presence is still valued. Importantly, the report shows that regional anxieties are not solely driven by external dynamics.
Climate risks, internal political instability, cross-border threats and ASEAN’s own execution challenges are also shaping perceptions. Despite this, ASEAN is still regarded as an important anchor for cooperation, stability and regional balance.
Among major powers, Japan stands out as the most trusted. Overall, the findings portray a region that is increasingly cautious, seeking to protect its flexibility and resilience in a more contested global environment.
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